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Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
The Republican National Committee determined that candidates must qualify for the first primary debate by polling above 1% in three national polls since July 2023 – or in two national polls and one poll from two different early primary states (of which the polls must meet committee standards) – as well as attract donations from at least 40,000 individuals, with at least 200 from each of 20 ...
According to 538's analysis of polls conducted in competitive states* in which over 95 percent of the expected vote was counted as of Nov. 8 at 6 a.m. Eastern, the average poll conducted over the ...
Election 2024 live updates: One day left until Election Day in Indiana Here's what you need to know: Who is leading US presidential election polls today, Monday, Nov. 4, 2024?
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
Polls and odds are constantly changing. Here's where each candidate stood as of 7:30 a.m. on Nov. 1, 2024: ABC News Project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls 48% to Trump 46.8%. In ...
The polls will point to any number of states, but just like in 2012 and 2016, the states that determine the election might be different from what we expected. We are headed for the home stretch.
Pages in category "Opinion polling for the 2024 United States presidential election" The following 5 pages are in this category, out of 5 total. This list may not reflect recent changes .