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Polls almost always undercount Trump’s support, leading him to drastically overperform pre-election assumptions. At this point in 2020, Trump trailed then-candidate Joe Biden by 7 points per the ...
The American Association for Public Opinion Research postmortem following the 2020 election considered the possibility that polls underestimated Trump because his supporters responded less to ...
Polls today consistently show a tight race, and those in the polling profession say now they’ll be under the microscope. “We’re understandably requiring more precision because the stakes ...
The following nationwide polls feature Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who is an independent candidate who suspended his campaign and endorsed Donald Trump. Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
An approval rating is a percentage determined by polling which indicates the percentage of respondents to an opinion poll who approve of a particular person or program. Typically, an approval rating is given to a politician based on responses to a poll in which a sample of people are asked whether they approve or disapprove of that particular ...
Former first lady Michelle Obama is the only Democrat to beat former President Trump in a new poll Tuesday. The survey, conducted by Reuters/Ipsos, found Obama was the only Democrat with a lead on ...
After the conventions, Obama had a clear lead until he did poorly in the first debate. Romney took the lead, and the polls were tied in early and mid-October. The Democrats then regained their momentum but Obama became the first President to win re-election by a narrower margin in both the popular vote and in the Electoral College.
Senate Democrats are worried pollsters are once again undercounting the Trump vote and say Vice President Harris’s slim lead in battleground states, especially Pennsylvania, is cause for serious ...