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The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge—the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, which excludes more volatile food and energy prices—rose 2.8% from a year ago in March. That ...
"We remain positive and believe the S&P 500 can rally more than its long-term average over the coming year," Colas wrote. "The setup going into 2025 more closely resembles exceptionally strong ...
So far this year, inflation has moderated but remains stubbornly above the Federal Reserve's 2% target on an annual basis, pressured by hotter-than-expected readings on monthly "core" price ...
Hence, by lowering the federal funds rate the Federal Reserve can stimulate aggregate demand, raising employment levels and inflation when inflation falls short of the 2% annual inflation target. Conversely, when inflation is too high, the Fed can tighten monetary policy by raising the federal funds rate, which will diminish economic activity ...
A worrisome sign for the Federal Reserve is starting to emerge. The Fed keeps a close eye on several risks that could make its job of taming inflation even more difficult, such as red-hot consumer ...
The latest reading of the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge showed prices increased in line with expectations in December as inflation remained above the Fed's 2% target. The "core ...
A fresh check on prices. Inflation's trajectory remains crucial to the Fed's rate-cutting timeline, and markets will get an update on any progress on Friday with the release of the Personal ...
A 1997 analysis of density forecasts of inflation made in the SPF finds: "The probability of a large negative inflation shock is generally overestimated, and in more recent years the probability of a large shock of either sign is overestimated. Inflation surprises are serially correlated, although agents eventually adapt.