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  2. Bayesian average - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_average

    A Bayesian average is a method of estimating the mean of a population using outside information, especially a pre-existing belief, [1] which is factored into the calculation. This is a central feature of Bayesian interpretation. This is useful when the available data set is small. [2] Calculating the Bayesian average uses the prior mean m and a ...

  3. Bayesian statistics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_statistics

    Exploratory analysis of Bayesian models is an adaptation or extension of the exploratory data analysis approach to the needs and peculiarities of Bayesian modeling. In the words of Persi Diaconis: [17] Exploratory data analysis seeks to reveal structure, or simple descriptions in data. We look at numbers or graphs and try to find patterns.

  4. Bayes error rate - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes_error_rate

    This statistics -related article is a stub. You can help Wikipedia by expanding it.

  5. Posterior probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Posterior_probability

    In Bayesian statistics, the posterior probability is the probability of the parameters given the evidence , and is denoted (|). It contrasts with the likelihood function , which is the probability of the evidence given the parameters: p ( X | θ ) {\displaystyle p(X|\theta )} .

  6. Prediction interval - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prediction_interval

    Given a sample from a normal distribution, whose parameters are unknown, it is possible to give prediction intervals in the frequentist sense, i.e., an interval [a, b] based on statistics of the sample such that on repeated experiments, X n+1 falls in the interval the desired percentage of the time; one may call these "predictive confidence intervals".

  7. Bayesian inference - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference

    Bayesian inference (/ ˈ b eɪ z i ə n / BAY-zee-ən or / ˈ b eɪ ʒ ən / BAY-zhən) [1] is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to calculate a probability of a hypothesis, given prior evidence, and update it as more information becomes available.

  8. Graphical model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Graphical_model

    A chain graph is a graph which may have both directed and undirected edges, but without any directed cycles (i.e. if we start at any vertex and move along the graph respecting the directions of any arrows, we cannot return to the vertex we started from if we have passed an arrow). Both directed acyclic graphs and undirected graphs are special ...

  9. Bayesian linear regression - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_linear_regression

    Bayesian linear regression is a type of conditional modeling in which the mean of one variable is described by a linear combination of other variables, with the goal of obtaining the posterior probability of the regression coefficients (as well as other parameters describing the distribution of the regressand) and ultimately allowing the out-of-sample prediction of the regressand (often ...