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This is an accepted version of this page This is the latest accepted revision, reviewed on 23 January 2025. This is a dynamic list and may never be able to satisfy particular standards for completeness. You can help by adding missing items with reliable sources. The Last Judgment by painter Hans Memling. In Christian belief, the Last Judgement is an apocalyptic event where God makes a final ...
The Good Judgment Project (GJP) is an organization dedicated to "harnessing the wisdom of the crowd to forecast world events".It was co-created by Philip E. Tetlock (author of Superforecasting and Expert Political Judgment), decision scientist Barbara Mellers, and Don Moore, all professors at the University of Pennsylvania.
The estimated time of peak habitability in the universe, unless habitability around low-mass stars is suppressed. [137] 1.2×10 13 (12 trillion) The estimated time until the red dwarf star VB 10—as of 2016, the least-massive main-sequence star with an estimated mass of 0.075 M ☉ —runs out of hydrogen in its core and becomes a white dwarf.
A logistic distribution shaped world oil production curve, peaking at 12.5 billion barrels per year about the year 2000, as originally proposed by M. King Hubbert in 1956. In 1956, M. King Hubbert created and first used the models behind peak oil to predict that United States oil production would peak between 1965 and 1971.
The Economist reports that superforecasters are clever (with a good mental attitude), but not necessarily geniuses. It reports on the treasure trove of data coming from The Good Judgment Project, showing that accurately selected amateur forecasters (and the confidence they had in their forecasts) were often more accurately tuned than experts. [1]
Earth 2100 is a television program and a Science fiction documentary film that was presented by ABC on June 2, 2009, aired on the History Channel in January 2010, and was shown throughout the year. The two-hour special, which Bob Woodruff hosted, looked at what "a worst-case" future might entail if people do nothing about current or impending ...
The Book of Predictions was a book published in 1981 and written by David Wallechinsky, Amy Wallace, and Irving Wallace, [1] [2] the authors of The Book of Lists. Written in the same type of style (i.e., lists), it includes lists of predictions by scientists, science fiction authors, politicians, and others.
It has since been set backward 8 times and forward 17 times. The farthest time from midnight was 17 minutes in 1991, and the nearest is 90 seconds, set in January 2023. The Clock was moved to 150 seconds (2 minutes, 30 seconds) in 2017, then forward to 2 minutes to midnight in January 2018, and left unchanged in 2019. [ 6 ]