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800-290-4726 more ways to reach us. Sign in. Mail. ... the most accurate polls since 1998 have been national polls. ... (Remember the ABC News/Washington Post poll in 2020 that gave President Joe ...
That includes ABC News, which, after publishing an RDD poll that found now-President Joe Biden ahead of Trump by 17 points in Wisconsin in 2020 (something the pollsters behind the survey rightly ...
This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
ABC News project 538 shows Harris leading in the national polls with 48.4% to Trump's 45.9% versus the very close Pennsylvania poll that has Harris at 47.8% and Trump at 47.3%
Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
It currently holds a 3-star rating from FiveThirtyEight, their highest possible rating for a pollster, based on measurements of error, bias, and transparency in methodology. As of 2024, FiveThirtyEight describes The New York Times/Siena College Poll as the most accurate pollster in America. [24] [25]
The Huffington Post has partnered with YouGov to conduct daily public opinion polls on the issues of the day, and provide a polling widget allowing readers of the online news site to compare their views to those of the nation as a whole.
The Emerson poll estimated Trump was ahead by 10 points. This year’s campaign produced more than a few notably off-target predictions based on intimations rather than survey data.