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In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
In the race for the White House, a candidate will have to win 270 of the 538 total electoral votes to win the 2024 presidential election. Electoral votes are allocated among the states based on ...
The Electoral College meeting occurs on the Tuesday after the second Wednesday in December, which was December 17 in 2024. Each state’s electors meet in their state and cast their votes.
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
The number of electoral votes, out of 538, allocated to each state and the District of Columbia for presidential elections held in 2024 and to be held in 2028 based on the 2020 census. Every jurisdiction is entitled to at least 3.
But just because the final election odds were forecast as 50-50 between Trump and Harris, that doesn’t mean the Electoral College outcome was expected to be a tie. Silver, for instance, pegged ...
Pennsylvania is considered crucial to the outcome of the race, as it boasts the most electoral votes (19) of any of the battlegrounds. The state cemented President Joe Biden’s victory in 2020 ...
Several sites have created election forecast models to gauge how likely it is for either candidate to reach the 270 electoral college votes to win. Forecasts by 538 and Decision Desk HQ/The Hill ...