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  2. Point estimation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Point_estimation

    When f(x, β 0, β 1, ,,,, β p) is a linear function of the parameters and the x-values are known, least square estimators will be best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). Again, if we assume that the least square estimates are independently and identically normally distributed, then a linear estimator will be minimum-variance unbiased estimator ...

  3. Expected value of including uncertainty - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expected_value_of...

    Decisions are reached through quantitative analysis and model building by simply using a best guess (single value) for each input variable. Decisions are then made on computed point estimates . In many cases, however, ignoring uncertainty can lead to very poor decisions, with estimations for result variables often misleading the decision maker ...

  4. Dunning–Kruger effect - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dunning–Kruger_effect

    Some researchers include a metacognitive component in their definition. In this view, the Dunning–Kruger effect is the thesis that those who are incompetent in a given area tend to be ignorant of their incompetence, i.e., they lack the metacognitive ability to become aware of their incompetence.

  5. Decisional balance sheet - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decisional_balance_sheet

    Psychology professor Finn Tschudi's ABC model of psychotherapy uses a structure similar to a decisional balance sheet: A is a row that defines the problem; B is a row that lists schemas (tacit assumptions) about the advantages and disadvantages of resolving the problem; and C is a row that lists schemas about the advantages and disadvantages of ...

  6. Convergent thinking - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Convergent_thinking

    A critical aspect of convergent thinking is that it leads to a single best answer, leaving no room for ambiguity. In this view, answers are either right or wrong. The solution that is derived at the end of the convergent thinking process is the best possible answer the majority of the time.

  7. Delphi method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delphi_method

    The Delphi method or Delphi technique (/ ˈ d ɛ l f aɪ / DEL-fy; also known as Estimate-Talk-Estimate or ETE) is a structured communication technique or method, originally developed as a systematic, interactive forecasting method that relies on a panel of experts.

  8. Unmatched count - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unmatched_count

    Using the Unmatched Count Technique (UCT) to estimate base rates for sensitive behavior. Personnel Psychology 47, pp. 817–829; Allison M. Ahart, Paul R. Sackett (2004). A New Method of Examining Relationships between Individual Difference Measures and Sensitive Behavior Criteria: Evaluating the Unmatched Count Technique. Organizational ...

  9. Consensus estimate - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Consensus_estimate

    Consensus estimate is a technique for designing truthful mechanisms in a prior-free mechanism design setting. The technique was introduced for digital goods auctions [1] and later extended to more general settings. [2] Suppose there is a digital good that we want to sell to a group of buyers with unknown valuations.