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Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Trudeau, 51, has defied low polling numbers before, to win three elections, starting in 2015. Last month, the Conservatives led the Liberals 39% to 30%, an Ipsos poll showed.
The Liberal Party of Canada is expected to hold a leadership election sometime in 2025 to elect a successor to Justin Trudeau. The leadership election was prompted by Trudeau's announcement on January 6, 2025 of his intention to resign as party leader and as Prime Minister of Canada as soon as a new leader is elected. [1] [2]
Trudeau, 53, has served as prime minister for nine years and as Liberal leader for 11 years, but he was facing mounting crises and troubling polls against the Conservative Party led by Pierre ...
3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which ...
Trudeau, 53, took office in November 2015 with a message of hope and "sunny ways" and won reelection twice, becoming one of Canada's longest-serving prime ministers and winning plaudits from ...
Trudeau's departure would leave the party without a permanent head at a time when polls show the Liberals will badly lose to the official opposition Conservatives in an election that must be held ...
Polls in 2024 indicated the Conservatives were positioned to win a majority in the next parliamentary election. [39] The Trudeau government announced substantial reductions to immigration targets in 2024, including a nearly 20% decrease in permanent residency grants and significant restrictions on visa workers and international students. These ...
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