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Denote the AIC values of those models by AIC 1, AIC 2, AIC 3, ..., AIC R. Let AIC min be the minimum of those values. Then the quantity exp((AIC min − AIC i)/2) can be interpreted as being proportional to the probability that the ith model minimizes the (estimated) information loss. [6]
In statistics, the Widely Applicable Information Criterion (WAIC), also known as Watanabe–Akaike information criterion, is the generalized version of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) onto singular statistical models. [1] It is used as measure how well will model predict data it wasn't trained on.
Both BIC and AIC attempt to resolve this problem by introducing a penalty term for the number of parameters in the model; the penalty term is larger in BIC than in AIC for sample sizes greater than 7. [1] The BIC was developed by Gideon E. Schwarz and published in a 1978 paper, [2] as a large-sample approximation to the Bayes factor.
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A fundamental test of fit used in the calculation of many other fit measures. It is a function of the discrepancy between the observed covariance matrix and the model-implied covariance matrix. Chi-square increases with sample size only if the model is detectably misspecified. [33] Akaike information criterion (AIC)
R^2 values range from 0-1. If the AIC is better than the null model, it should be smaller. If the numerator is larger than the denominator, the R^2_{AIC} will be less than 1. This is saying that better models will generate a negative R^2_{AIC}. It would make sense if the model were: R^2_{AIC}= 1 - \frac{AIC_i}{AIC_0}
They also note that HQC, like BIC, but unlike AIC, is not an estimator of Kullback–Leibler divergence. Claeskens & Hjort (2008, ch. 4) note that HQC, like BIC, but unlike AIC, is not asymptotically efficient ; however, it misses the optimal estimation rate by a very small ln ( ln ( n ) ) {\displaystyle \ln(\ln(n))} factor.
However, the test can only be used when models are nested (meaning that a more complex model includes all of the effects of a simpler model). When testing non-nested models, comparisons between models can be made using the Akaike information criterion (AIC) or the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), among others. [1] [2] [5] See further Model ...