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Who’s ahead in the Arizona Senate ? An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.
Polling conducted for the 2024 Senate election in Arizona.
Who Is Favored To Win Arizona's Senate Race? 538 uses polling, economic and demographic data to explore likely election outcomes. Gallego wins the seat 78 times out of 100
See how Rubin Gallego and Kari Lake compare in the polls leading up to the 2024 Arizona senate election.
Control of the Senate is likely to hinge on the outcomes of just a handful of races, most of which the Democrats would have to win to maintain a slim majority. See the key races here. The latest...
Stay updated on Arizona's 2024 election polls with The Hill and Decision Desk HQ's comprehensive poll tracker, including the latest approval ratings and popularity of candidates.
View results from the 2024 Arizona Senate election. Follow live outcomes and maps by district as votes are added up on Election Day.
Arizona Democrats have won three straight Senate races beginning in 2018. That streak snapped a 30-year elective drought that included nine straight Republican wins. Kari Lake enters the final...
Table showing the percent of votes for the top Democratic and Republican candidates and the percent of expected votes reported for each state in senate races that are Lean Democrat. % EXP.
Demographic, income and education data comes from 2018-2022 American Community Survey five-year estimates. Demographic trends are not shown for special elections or states with fewer than 10 counties reporting above 50%. County-level unemployment data shown are preliminary August 2024 rates, via the Bureau of Labor Statistics.