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This is a list of statewide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2020 United States presidential election.The persons named in the polls were declared candidates or received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
The persons named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy. The polls included are among Republicans or Republicans and Republican-leaning independents. If multiple versions of polls are provided, the version among likely voters is prioritized, then registered voters, then adults.
RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [ 44 ]
The RealClearPolitics average at campaign’s end showed Harris leading nationally by 0.1 percentage point. ... which are not remotely as shocking as those of 2020 when, overall, the polls turned ...
However, I have taken a look at the relative margins in the national and swing state polls as aggregated and averaged by RealClearPolitics (RCP), which seems to massage the data less than some others.
Polls are widely believed to have underestimated Trump in both 2016 and 2020. Yet at the same time, many Democrats have taken solace in their belief that they outperformed polls in the 2022 ...
Most election predictors for the 2020 United States presidential election used: Tossup: No advantage; Tilt: Advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean" Lean: Slight advantage; Likely: Significant, but surmountable, advantage (highest rating given by CBS News and NPR) Safe or solid: Near-certain chance of victory
Nevertheless, Wisconsin was seen as a lean-Democratic state given its presidential voting history. Trump pulled off a surprise win in the state in 2016, in large part due to a collapse in support for Hillary Clinton in the state. [202] [203] In 2020, both Trump and Biden improved their parties' vote shares in Wisconsin.