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  2. Frequency of exceedance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Frequency_of_exceedance

    Thus, the mean time between peaks, including the residence time or mean time before the very first peak, is the inverse of the frequency of exceedance N −1 (y max). If the number of peaks exceeding y max grows as a Poisson process, then the probability that at time t there has not yet been any peak exceeding y max is e −N(y max)t. [6] Its ...

  3. Buffered probability of exceedance - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Buffered_probability_of...

    Buffered probability of exceedance (bPOE) is a function of a random variable used in statistics and risk management, including financial risk. The bPOE is the probability of a tail with known mean value . The figure shows the bPOE at threshold (marked in red) as the blue shaded area.

  4. Probability distribution fitting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Probability_distribution...

    An estimate of the uncertainty in the first and second case can be obtained with the binomial probability distribution using for example the probability of exceedance Pe (i.e. the chance that the event X is larger than a reference value Xr of X) and the probability of non-exceedance Pn (i.e. the chance that the event X is smaller than or equal ...

  5. Extreme value theory - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Extreme_value_theory

    Extreme value theory is used to model the risk of extreme, rare events, such as the 1755 Lisbon earthquake.. Extreme value theory or extreme value analysis (EVA) is the study of extremes in statistical distributions.

  6. Gumbel distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gumbel_distribution

    Gumbel has also shown that the estimator r ⁄ (n+1) for the probability of an event — where r is the rank number of the observed value in the data series and n is the total number of observations — is an unbiased estimator of the cumulative probability around the mode of the distribution.

  7. Cumulative frequency analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cumulative_frequency_analysis

    Cumulative frequency is also called frequency of non-exceedance. Cumulative frequency analysis is performed to obtain insight into how often a certain phenomenon (feature) is below a certain value. This may help in describing or explaining a situation in which the phenomenon is involved, or in planning interventions, for example in flood ...

  8. Trump tariffs on Canada imports could bring sharply higher ...

    www.aol.com/trump-tariffs-canada-imports-could...

    Donald Trump's proposed tariffs on Canada could increase U.S. gas prices by up to 70 cents a gallon, energy experts say.

  9. Diffusion-limited aggregation - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diffusion-limited_aggregation

    Diffusion-limited aggregation (DLA) is the process whereby particles undergoing a random walk due to Brownian motion cluster together to form aggregates of such particles. . This theory, proposed by T.A. Witten Jr. and L.M. Sander in 1981, [1] is applicable to aggregation in any system where diffusion is the primary means of transport in the sy