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  2. Odds - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds

    Converting odds to probability fixes 0, sends infinity to 1, and sends 1 to .5 (even odds are 50% probable), and conversely; this is a parabolic transform.

  3. Logit - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logit

    If p is a probability, then p/(1 − p) is the corresponding odds; the logit of the probability is the logarithm of the odds, i.e.: ⁡ = ⁡ = ⁡ ⁡ = ⁡ = ⁡ (). The base of the logarithm function used is of little importance in the present article, as long as it is greater than 1, but the natural logarithm with base e is the one most often used.

  4. Logistic regression - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Logistic_regression

    The corresponding probability of the value labeled "1" can vary between 0 (certainly the value "0") and 1 (certainly the value "1"), hence the labeling; [2] the function that converts log-odds to probability is the logistic function, hence the name.

  5. 68–95–99.7 rule - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68–95–99.7_rule

    The "68–95–99.7 rule" is often used to quickly get a rough probability estimate of something, given its standard deviation, if the population is assumed to be normal. It is also used as a simple test for outliers if the population is assumed normal, and as a normality test if the population is potentially not normal.

  6. Odds ratio - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Odds_ratio

    An odds ratio (OR) is a statistic that quantifies the strength of the association between two events, A and B. The odds ratio is defined as the ratio of the odds of event A taking place in the presence of B, and the odds of A in the absence of B. Due to symmetry, odds ratio reciprocally calculates the ratio of the odds of B occurring in the presence of A, and the odds of B in the absence of A.

  7. Log probability - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Log_probability

    (The conversion to log form is expensive, but is only incurred once.) Multiplication arises from calculating the probability that multiple independent events occur: the probability that all independent events of interest occur is the product of all these events' probabilities. Accuracy.

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  9. Mathematics of bookmaking - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mathematics_of_bookmaking

    Decimal odds are a single value, greater than 1, representing the amount to be paid out for each unit bet. For example, a bet of £40 at 6 − 4 (fractional odds) will pay out £40 + £60 = £100. The equivalent decimal odds are 2.5; £40 × 2.5 = £100. We can convert fractional to decimal odds by the formula D = (b + a) ⁄ b.