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The stock market has bounced back somewhat during the first few months of 2023. But it has not been significant enough to repair the damage of a nearly 20% drop in the S&P 500 index last year.
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The S&P 500 peaked for the year at 4,796 on its January 3, 2022 close, before declining 25% to its low for the year in October 2022. [11] [12]In the first 6 months of 2022, the S&P 500 fell 21%, the worst 6-month start to a year since 1970.
Goldman Sachs: 4,000, $224 EPS (as of Nov. 21) “The performance of US stocks in 2022 was all about a painful valuation de-rating but the equity story for 2023 will be about the lack of EPS ...
For example, if a portfolio of stocks has a one-day 5% VaR of $1 million, that means that there is a 0.05 probability that the portfolio will fall in value by more than $1 million over a one-day period if there is no trading. Informally, a loss of $1 million or more on this portfolio is expected on 1 day out of 20 days (because of 5% probability).
The present value of the stock in perpetuity (i.e. the sum of present values of all dividend payments) is $209.04. To recover the price paid of $100 must take some time considerably less than till the end of time. That time is between 33 and 34 years: the present value of dividends paid through the 34th year (but not the 33rd) will exceed $100.
Growth may not be as hot as it was earlier in the recovery as job creation cools and ... slowed from the brisk over 200K per month pace of 2023, to 148K per month over the six months ending in ...
Stocks finished 2023 near all-time highs with the S&P 500 gaining nearly 24% on the year. The three major averages ripped higher in the final two months of 2023 after a pivot from the Federal ...