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  2. The Stock Market Is Historically Pricey: Here's How I'm ... - AOL

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    S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Chart. S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts. ... the Shiller P/E stood close to its year-to-date high of almost 39. For context, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E has ...

  3. Cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cyclically_adjusted_price...

    The cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio, commonly known as CAPE, [1] Shiller P/E, or P/E 10 ratio, [2] is a stock valuation measure usually applied to the US S&P 500 equity market. It is defined as price divided by the average of ten years of earnings ( moving average ), adjusted for inflation. [ 3 ]

  4. 3 Highly Correlative Predictive Metrics That Strongly Suggest ...

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    S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts.CAPE ratio = cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio. As of the closing bell on Sept. 17, the S&P 500's Shiller P/E ratio was almost 36.3, more than ...

  5. Warren Buffett's $166 Billion Warning to Wall Street Has ...

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    S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Chart. S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts. ... Only readings from the dot-com bubble and late 2021/early 2022 exceed the current multiple.

  6. Robert J. Shiller - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Robert_J._Shiller

    In 1981 Shiller published an article in which he challenged the efficient-market hypothesis, which was the dominant view in the economics profession at the time. [16] Shiller argued that in a rational stock market, investors would base stock prices on the expected receipt of future dividends, discounted to a present value. He examined the ...

  7. Fed model - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fed_model

    Robert Shiller's plot of the S&P 500 price–earnings ratio (P/E) versus long-term Treasury yields (1871–2012), from Irrational Exuberance. [1]The P/E ratio is the inverse of the E/P ratio, and from 1921 to 1928 and 1987 to 2000, supports the Fed model (i.e. P/E ratio moves inversely to the treasury yield), however, for all other periods, the relationship of the Fed model fails; [2] [3] even ...

  8. Warren Buffett's Unprecedented $132 Billion Warning to Wall ...

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    S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts.. Unlike the traditional P/E ratio, which divides a company's share price into its trailing-12-month earnings per share and is easily the most-popular ...

  9. Economic bubble - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_bubble

    CAPE based on data from economist Robert Shiller's website, as of 8/4/2015. The 26.45 measure was 93rd percentile, meaning 93% of the time investors paid less for stocks overall relative to earnings. Economic or asset price bubbles are often characterized by one or more of the following: