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The betting platform Polymarket has seen its trading volume surge, with $1.24 billion in October alone. A $30 million bet on Trump has raised questions about how big bettors can swing the odds.
The majority of bets went for Trump, with $1.3 billion wagered on the former president and $827 million on Harris. Polymarket did not respond to a request for comment.
As of Oct. 30 at 11:30 a.m. Eastern, the margin between Vice President Kamala Harris and Trump in 538's polling averages is smaller than 4 points in seven states: the familiar septet of Arizona ...
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Others/ Undecided [a]Margin 270toWin [1]: through November 4, 2024
Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
Without this adjustment, Harris and Trump would be tied at 44.0 percent nationally (based on polls conducted since July 22 and released by Aug. 1). But Harris's margin is about 0.2 points higher ...
‘Fundamental’ analysis says Harris should win, but the ‘technicals’ show a big lead for Trump, say two leading election watchers. Shawn Tully. Updated October 29, 2024 at 11:48 AM.
Harris is favourite to be next president, with 22.2% implied probability, while President Biden has 20% chance and former President Trump has 14.3% probability, Ladbrokes odds indicated.