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The only time, other than in 2016, that bettors have missed was in in 1948, when Harry Truman (D) beat eight-to-one odds to defeat Thomas Dewey (R). Election Day is days away.
When we find fewer than five polls in 2016 or fewer than two polls since July 2016, we use Cook Political Report ratings to estimate where the race stands. We run the simulations out to Election Day, Nov. 8. Since we don’t have polling data for the future, the model assumes voter intentions generally continue along their current trajectories.
Election Day is Tuesday, Nov. 5, 2024, for the U.S. general election. Stay in the know: Download our app for breaking election news and alerts When will we know who is elected president?
The site provides an updated average for each candidate in the 2024 presidential polls, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects. Polling averages are ...
James Powel, USA TODAY. September 17, 2024 at 6:07 PM. 1 / 2. 2024 presidential election odds: Harris maintains narrow lead over Trump with 49 days left. ... Trump won the 2016 race, ...
Presidential elections were held in the United States on November 5, 2024. [a] The Republican Party's ticket—Donald Trump, who was the 45th president of the United States from 2017 to 2021, and JD Vance, the junior U.S. senator from Ohio—defeated the Democratic Party's ticket—Kamala Harris, the incumbent vice president, and Tim Walz, the 41st governor of Minnesota.
Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016. He lost the popular vote but won the electoral college . [ 1 ] [ 2 ] Most polls correctly predicted a popular vote victory for Hillary Clinton , but overestimated the size of her lead, with the result that Trump's electoral college victory was a surprise to analysts.
Chart of Democratic-candidate lead over Republican candidate in final poll and results by year, 1936 to 2016. Gallup was the first polling organization to conduct accurate opinion polling for United States presidential elections.