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A martingale is a class of betting strategies that originated from and were popular in 18th-century France. The simplest of these strategies was designed for a game in which the gambler wins the stake if a coin comes up heads and loses if it comes up tails.
The alternative (and preferred) terminology quadratic pure-jump semimartingale for a purely discontinuous semimartingale (Protter 2004, p. 71) is motivated by the fact that the quadratic variation of a purely discontinuous semimartingale is a pure jump process. Every finite-variation semimartingale is a quadratic pure-jump semimartingale.
A convex function of a martingale is a submartingale, by Jensen's inequality. For example, the square of the gambler's fortune in the fair coin game is a submartingale (which also follows from the fact that X n 2 − n is a martingale). Similarly, a concave function of a martingale is a supermartingale.
If no equivalent martingale measure exists, arbitrage opportunities do. In markets with transaction costs, with no numéraire, the consistent pricing process takes the place of the equivalent martingale measure. There is in fact a 1-to-1 relation between a consistent pricing process and an equivalent martingale measure.
In probability theory, the Azuma–Hoeffding inequality (named after Kazuoki Azuma and Wassily Hoeffding) gives a concentration result for the values of martingales that have bounded differences. Suppose {: =,,,, …} is a martingale (or super-martingale) and
Since martingales can be used to model the wealth of a gambler participating in a fair game, the optional stopping theorem says that, on average, nothing can be gained by stopping play based on the information obtainable so far (i.e., without looking into the future). Certain conditions are necessary for this result to hold true.
American consumers have increasingly shown up online in recent days in search of possible alternatives to eggs and other options for recipes without eggs until prices and supply even out. 7 egg ...
An alternative process, the predictable quadratic variation is sometimes used for locally square integrable martingales. This is written as M t {\displaystyle \langle M_{t}\rangle } , and is defined to be the unique right-continuous and increasing predictable process starting at zero such that M 2 − M {\displaystyle M^{2}-\langle M\rangle ...