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In decision theory, the weighted sum model (WSM), [1] [2] also called weighted linear combination (WLC) [3] or simple additive weighting (SAW), [4] is the best known and simplest multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) / multi-criteria decision making method for evaluating a number of alternatives in terms of a number of decision criteria.
Easily interpreted: The result of the calculation is a single number, with a higher score usually means higher risk. Furthermore, many scoring methods enforce some form of monotonicity along the measured risk factors to allow a straightforward interpretation of the score (e.g. risk of mortality only increases with age, risk of payment default ...
Estimate the risk parameters—probability of default (PD), loss given default (LGD), exposure at default (EAD), maturity (M)—that are inputs to risk-weight functions designed for each asset class to arrive at the total risk weighted assets (RWA) The regulatory capital for credit risk is then calculated as 8% of the total RWA under Basel II.
This template is designed to be used in a table to make a cell with text in that cell, with an appropriately colored background. It can be used in comparison tables with descriptions of risk, hazard, criticality, threat or severity level. There are many risk assessment systems using a varying number of risk categories.
Risk is the lack of certainty about the outcome of making a particular choice. Statistically, the level of downside risk can be calculated as the product of the probability that harm occurs (e.g., that an accident happens) multiplied by the severity of that harm (i.e., the average amount of harm or more conservatively the maximum credible amount of harm).
The quadratic scoring rule is a strictly proper scoring rule (,) = = =where is the probability assigned to the correct answer and is the number of classes.. The Brier score, originally proposed by Glenn W. Brier in 1950, [4] can be obtained by an affine transform from the quadratic scoring rule.
Scoring methods, even with weighting, tend to equalize all the requirements. But a few requirements are "must haves". If enough minor criteria are listed, it is possible for them to add up and select an option that misses a "must have" requirement. The values assigned to each option are guesses, not based on any quantitative measurements.
Risk assessment determines possible mishaps, their likelihood and consequences, and the tolerances for such events. [1] [2] The results of this process may be expressed in a quantitative or qualitative fashion. Risk assessment is an inherent part of a broader risk management strategy to help reduce any potential risk-related consequences. [1] [3]