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Accumulated Cyclone Energy is the measure of a hurricane's strength and longevity. For the season, which runs through Nov. 30, CSU is forecasting an ACE of 230, which is nearly double an average year.
This season, CSU calls for a very high ACE of 210, when an average season sees only 123. Compare that to 2020, where we saw 30 named storms, 14 of which became hurricanes, which had an ACE of 179.8.
The ACE index is an offshoot of Hurricane Destruction Potential (HDP), an index created in 1988 by William Gray and his associates at Colorado State University [5] who argued the destructiveness of a hurricane's wind and storm surge is better related to the square of the maximum wind speed () than simply to the maximum wind speed (). [5]
Hurricane Mitch 3D Satellite on Oct. 26, 1998. The Atlantic hurricane season officially began on June 1, and with the season underway, the potential for devastating storms could occur at any time.
On April 4, 2024, Colorado State University (CSU) released its forecast, calling for an extremely active hurricane season, with 23 named storms, 11 hurricanes and five major hurricanes, with an ACE index of 210 units, citing the extremely warm Atlantic sea surface temperatures and the development of a La Niña by the summer. [7]
With the Atlantic Hurricane Season already in full swing, meteorologists are looking at more than just the number of storms brewing in the basin. The ACE Index, short for the accumulated cyclone ...
CSU’s data is several points behind even with the BT updates, and NOAA’s data should have far more weight put on it then CSU’s after the HURDAT data is released. The best examples of this are the big discrepancies with 2005 and 2023’s ACE, which CSU has listed as 245 and 145 vs NOAA’s 250 and 139 (which are cited on the season page ...
Colorado State University forecasters are predicting above-normal tropical cyclone activity between Aug. 31 and Sept. 13.