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Its "no toss-ups" electoral map, based on state-level polling averages, successfully forecast outcomes in many swing states. RCP also provides averages for betting odds, which looks at voter sentiment through financial markets. [47]
The RealClearPolitics poll average has Harris over Trump by less than one percent, while the 538 poll aggregate has Harris leading by more than two percent.. On Thursday, Donald Trump held a press ...
Cook Political Report listed 12 states as toss-ups in 1995. Thirty years later, that number has now dropped to just four. 2024 election primed to have the fewest swing states in recent history [Video]
But there were no toss-ups in the center’s final forecast one day before the election. The group called every state right except North Carolina, which it predicted would go for Democrat Joe Biden.
270toWin is an American political website that projects who will win United States presidential, House of Representatives, Senate, and gubernatorial elections and allows users to create their electoral maps. [3] It also tracks the results of United States presidential elections by state throughout the country's history.
We currently rate seven states (and one Nebraska congressional district) totaling 94 electoral votes as true toss-ups as we head into the Democratic National Convention and the final weeks of summer.
With just 15 races listed as toss-ups, it’s likely that neither party will have a very large majority next year. Changes in the balance of power have actually happened more in recent elections.
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