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  2. Taylor expansions for the moments of functions of random ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taylor_expansions_for_the...

    In probability theory, it is possible to approximate the moments of a function f of a random variable X using Taylor expansions, provided that f is sufficiently differentiable and that the moments of X are finite. A simulation-based alternative to this approximation is the application of Monte Carlo simulations.

  3. Propagation of uncertainty - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Propagation_of_uncertainty

    Any non-linear differentiable function, (,), of two variables, and , can be expanded as + +. If we take the variance on both sides and use the formula [11] for the variance of a linear combination of variables ⁡ (+) = ⁡ + ⁡ + ⁡ (,), then we obtain | | + | | +, where is the standard deviation of the function , is the standard deviation of , is the standard deviation of and = is the ...

  4. Taylor series - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taylor_series

    That is, the Taylor series diverges at x if the distance between x and b is larger than the radius of convergence. The Taylor series can be used to calculate the value of an entire function at every point, if the value of the function, and of all of its derivatives, are known at a single point. Uses of the Taylor series for analytic functions ...

  5. Delta method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Delta_method

    Demonstration of this result is fairly straightforward under the assumption that () is differentiable near the neighborhood of and ′ is continuous at with ′ ().To begin, we use the mean value theorem (i.e.: the first order approximation of a Taylor series using Taylor's theorem):

  6. Taylor's theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taylor's_theorem

    The Taylor series of f will converge in some interval in which all its derivatives are bounded and do not grow too fast as k goes to infinity. (However, even if the Taylor series converges, it might not converge to f, as explained below; f is then said to be non-analytic.) One might think of the Taylor series

  7. Normal distribution - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Normal_distribution

    A quick approximation to the standard normal distribution's cumulative distribution function can be found by using a Taylor series approximation: Φ ( x ) ≈ 1 2 + 1 2 π ∑ k = 0 n ( − 1 ) k x ( 2 k + 1 ) 2 k k !

  8. First-order second-moment method - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/First-order_second-moment...

    For the second-order approximations of the third central moment as well as for the derivation of all higher-order approximations see Appendix D of Ref. [3] Taking into account the quadratic terms of the Taylor series and the third moments of the input variables is referred to as second-order third-moment method. [4]

  9. Experimental uncertainty analysis - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Experimental_uncertainty...

    4. The solution is to expand the function z in a second-order Taylor series; the expansion is done around the mean values of the several variables x. (Usually the expansion is done to first order; the second-order terms are needed to find the bias in the mean. Those second-order terms are usually dropped when finding the variance; see below). 5.