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  2. Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes'_theorem

    Bayes' theorem applied to an event space generated by continuous random variables X and Y with known probability distributions. There exists an instance of Bayes' theorem for each point in the domain. In practice, these instances might be parametrized by writing the specified probability densities as a function of x and y.

  3. Bayesian inference - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayesian_inference

    Bayesian inference (/ ˈ b eɪ z i ə n / BAY-zee-ən or / ˈ b eɪ ʒ ən / BAY-zhən) [1] is a method of statistical inference in which Bayes' theorem is used to calculate a probability of a hypothesis, given prior evidence, and update it as more information becomes available.

  4. Bayes classifier - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Bayes_classifier

    In statistical classification, the Bayes classifier is the classifier having the smallest probability of misclassification of all classifiers using the same set of features. [ 1 ] Definition

  5. Principle of maximum entropy - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Principle_of_maximum_entropy

    Giffin and Caticha (2007) state that Bayes' theorem and the principle of maximum entropy are completely compatible and can be seen as special cases of the "method of maximum relative entropy". They state that this method reproduces every aspect of orthodox Bayesian inference methods.

  6. Monty Hall problem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_problem

    Thus the Bayes factor consists of the ratios ⁠ 1 / 2 ⁠ : 1 : 0 or equivalently 1 : 2 : 0, while the prior odds were 1 : 1 : 1. Thus, the posterior odds become equal to the Bayes factor 1 : 2 : 0. Given that the host opened door 3, the probability that the car is behind door 3 is zero, and it is twice as likely to be behind door 2 than door 1.

  7. Statistical proof - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statistical_proof

    Bayesian statistics are based on a different philosophical approach for proof of inference.The mathematical formula for Bayes's theorem is: [|] = [|] [] []The formula is read as the probability of the parameter (or hypothesis =h, as used in the notation on axioms) “given” the data (or empirical observation), where the horizontal bar refers to "given".

  8. Evidence under Bayes' theorem - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evidence_under_Bayes'_theorem

    There are some famous cases where Bayes' theorem can be applied.. In the medical examples, a comparison is made between the evidence of cancer suggested by mammograms (5% show positive) versus the general risk of having cancer (1% in general): the ratio is 1:5, or 20% risk, of having breast cancer when a mammogram shows a positive result.

  9. An Essay Towards Solving a Problem in the Doctrine of Chances

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/An_Essay_towards_solving_a...

    Bayes's preliminary results in conditional probability (especially Propositions 3, 4 and 5) imply the truth of the theorem that is named for him. He states:"If there be two subsequent events, the probability of the second b/N and the probability of both together P/N, and it being first discovered that the second event has also happened, from ...