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Yield curves are usually upward sloping asymptotically: the longer the maturity, the higher the yield, with diminishing marginal increases (that is, as one moves to the right, the curve flattens out). The slope of the yield curve can be measured by the difference, or term spread, between the yields on two-year and ten-year U.S. Treasury Notes. [7]
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The current yield, interest yield, income yield, flat yield, market yield, mark to market yield or running yield is a financial term used in reference to bonds and other fixed-interest securities such as gilts. It is the ratio of the annual interest payment and the bond's price:
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Federal Reserve Web Site: Federal Funds Rate Historical Data (including the current rate), Monetary Policy, and Open Market Operations; MoneyCafe.com page with Fed Funds Rate and historical chart and graph ; Historical data (since 1954) comparing the US GDP growth rate versus the US Fed Funds Rate - in the form of a chart/graph
Of course, the yield curve is most unlikely to behave in this way. The idea is that the actual change in the yield curve can be modeled in terms of a sum of such saw-tooth functions. At each key-rate duration, we know the change in the curve's yield, and can combine this change with the KRD to calculate the overall change in value of the portfolio.
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Economists have been warning of a recession for so long it's hard to remember when they didn't warn of one. Now there's another sign that the U.S. economy could be headed for a fall -- the U.S....