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Aggregate polls of declared candidates in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Dean Phillips Marianne Williamson Other/undecided [a] Margin 270 to Win [1] January 25 – February 14, 2024 February 18, 2024 74.2%: 5.6% 8.0% 12.2% Biden +66.2: FiveThirtyEight [2]
The Democratic National Committee (DNC) determined that candidates could qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations (in different regions if by the same organization) published after January 1, 2019, up ...
The Democratic National Committee has determined that candidates may qualify for the first two Democratic primary debates either by polling at 1% or higher in at least three national or early-state (Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina) polls sponsored or conducted by designated organizations (in different regions if by the same organization) published after January 1, 2019, up ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
Because the state holds open primaries, voters can choose to vote in either the Democratic primary on Saturday, Feb. 3 or in the Republican primary at the end of the month on Feb. 24. However ...
Polls did a better job estimating the popular vote in 2016 than in 2020. Polls took more heat in 2016 because they misfired at the state level, overestimating Clinton's advantage by around 5 ...
The DNC-approved 2024 calendar placed the South Carolina primary first, but New Hampshire state law mandates them to hold the first primary in the country, and a "bipartisan group of state politicians", including the chairs of the Democratic and the Republican parties, announced that the state would preserve this status.
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Others/ Undecided [a] Margin 270toWin [1] through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 48.4%: 47.2% 4.4% Harris +1.2%: 538 [2] through November 4, 2024 November 5, 2024 48.0%: 46.8% 5.2% Harris +1.2%: Cook Political Report [3] through ...