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Augur is a decentralized prediction market platform built on the Ethereum blockchain. [1] Augur is developed by Forecast Foundation, which was founded in 2014 by Jack Peterson, Joey Krug, and Jeremy Gardner. [2]
[2] [4] In June 2017, the Metaculus Prediction was launched, which is a system for aggregating user predictions. [8] The Metaculus Prediction, on average, outperforms the median of the community's predictions when evaluated using the Brier or Log scoring rules. [9] In 2021, Metaculus received an Effective altruism infrastructure fund grant ...
The automated trading system determines whether an order should be submitted based on, for example, the current market price of an option and theoretical buy and sell prices. [7] The theoretical buy and sell prices are derived from, among other things, the current market price of the security underlying the option. A look-up table stores a ...
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Web Bot is an internet bot computer program whose developers claim is able to predict future events by tracking keywords entered on the internet. It was developed in 1997, originally to predict stock market trends. [1]
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Manifold, formerly known as Manifold Markets, is an online prediction market platform. [1] [2] Users engage in competitive forecasting using play money called 'mana', as well as 'Sweepcash,' which can be withdrawn for real money, or donated to charity. [3] Topics on Manifold have included the 2024 United States presidential election and the ...
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