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Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Kamala Harris Democratic Donald Trump Republican Others/ Undecided [a]Margin 270toWin [1]: through November 4, 2024
Based on 538’s latest analysis of presidential polls, Trump now has the barest advantage in the race, with a 52-in-100 chance to win. Two weeks ago, Harris had a 58-in-100 chance to win. Two ...
The result is that Harris would win with 270 electoral votes. (Amina Brown for 538.) ... Youth Poll between Trump and Biden to 17 points in the latest poll, even as Harris has improved on Biden ...
North Carolina (16 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight average: Trump +0.5. 270 to Win average: Trump +0.5. Real Clear Polling average: Trump +1.2. Pennsylvania (19 electoral votes) FiveThirtyEight ...
MORE: Video How Harris or Trump could win 270 electoral votes. If polls are understating Trump's lead, he could have the advantage by winning Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and North Carolina, giving ...
[70] [71] FiveThirtyEight ' s model pointed to the possibility of an Electoral College-popular vote split widening in final weeks based on both Clinton's small lead in general polls, but also on Trump's improvement in swing states like Florida or Pennsylvania, mixed with Clinton's poor performance in several of those swing states in comparison ...
In 2020, President Joe Biden had the support of 65% of Latino voters compared to Trump at 32%, according to a CNN exit poll from 2020. More than half (54%) of Latino men support Trump but only 45% ...
On the morning of November 7 at approximately 11:25 a.m. EST, roughly three and a half days after polls had closed, ABC News, NBC News, CBS News, the Associated Press, CNN, and Fox News all called the election and Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes for Biden, based on projections of votes in Pennsylvania showing him leading outside of the ...