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  2. FACT CHECK: No, Trump Is Not Winning By 15% In The Polls

    www.aol.com/fact-check-no-trump-not-140355351.html

    Actual polling aggregators, such as FiveThirtyEight and RealClearPolitics, show the election is in a dead heat. RealClearPolitics, for example, shows that Trump and Harris are tied at 48.5% as of ...

  3. Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nationwide_opinion_polling...

    This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.

  4. How Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are polling in ...

    www.aol.com/donald-trump-kamala-harris-polling...

    Although polls and poll averages vary and are constantly changing, ... FiveThirtyEight average: Trump +1.8. 270 to Win average: Trump +1.2. Real Clear Polling average: Trump +0.9.

  5. RealClearPolitics - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RealClearPolitics

    RealClearPolitics aggregates polls for presidential and congressional races into averages, known as the RealClearPolitics average, which are widely cited by media outlets. Both major presidential campaigns in 2004 said that the RCP polling average was the best metric of the race. [44]

  6. Heading into Harris-Trump debate, here's what polls in ...

    www.aol.com/heading-harris-trump-debate-heres...

    Late last month a Free Press poll showed Trump ahead by the slimmest of margins — 47% to 46% for Harris ... FiveThirtyEight.com: Harris 46.7% (+1.9), Trump 44.8%. RealClearPolitics.com: Harris ...

  7. Polling for United States presidential elections - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Polling_for_United_States...

    The Republicans attacked him for being inexperienced, [23] and McCain got a temporary bump in the polls after choosing Sarah Palin as his vice-presidential nominee. The financial crisis allowed Obama to open a consistent, comfortable lead in the polls at the beginning of October, however, and he won the election by a comfortable margin. [4]

  8. Opinion - Harris is up but Trump might be stronger behind the ...

    www.aol.com/opinion-harris-trump-might-stronger...

    As of Labor Day, national polling averages aggregated by both FiveThirtyEight (Harris +3) and RealClearPolitics (Harris +2) show the race to be effectively tied. That’s a marked improvement for ...

  9. Statewide opinion polling for the 2024 United States ...

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling...

    Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...