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ABC News project 538: This poll currently shows Harris with a 47.9% to 47.0% edge over Trump. 270towin : Showing a composite of the latest national polls , Harris currently leads Trump by 1.1%.
FiveThirtyEight applied two separate models to forecast the 2016 presidential primary elections – polls-only and polls-plus models. The polls-only model relied only on polls from a particular state, while the polls-plus model was based on state polls, national polls and endorsements.
Good news, polling fans: 538 now has polling averages for the new presidential matchup between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump. As of Friday at 10 a.m. Eastern, our ...
Here are presidential polling averages nationally and in seven battleground states as of Oct. 17. ... FiveThirtyEight average: Trump +1.7. 270 to Win ... See current presidential poll averages ...
FiveThirtyEight. Harris: 47.9%. Trump: 47.0%. ... "With one day left in the 2024 campaign, the polls show one of the closest presidential elections in the history of American politics," Nate Cohn ...
The following head-to-head polls feature some of the individuals who officially declared their candidacies. The incumbent president, Joe Biden , won the Democratic primaries. On July 21, 2024, Biden withdrew from the presidential campaign and endorsed his vice president, Kamala Harris , who shortly thereafter became the official nominee of the ...
This article is a collection of statewide opinion polls conducted for the 2024 United States presidential election.The people named in the polls are declared candidates or have received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages over former President Donald Trump — she wins in 57 in 100 simulations ...