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gretl can estimate ARMA models, as mentioned here; GNU Octave extra package octave-forge supports AR models. Stata includes the function arima. for ARMA and ARIMA models. SuanShu is a Java library of numerical methods that implements univariate/multivariate ARMA, ARIMA, ARMAX, etc models, documented in "SuanShu, a Java numerical and statistical ...
Specifically, ARMA assumes that the series is stationary, that is, its expected value is constant in time. If instead the series has a trend (but a constant variance/autocovariance), the trend is removed by "differencing", [1] leaving a stationary series. This operation generalizes ARMA and corresponds to the "integrated" part of ARIMA ...
The enhancement to ordinary ARMA models is as follows: Take the original data series and high-pass filter it with fractional differencing enough to make the result stationary, and remember the order d of this fractional difference, d usually between 0 and 1 ... possibly up to 2+ in more extreme cases.
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To estimate the total number of lags, use the Ljung–Box test until the value of these are less than, say, 10% significant. The Ljung–Box Q-statistic follows χ 2 {\displaystyle \chi ^{2}} distribution with n degrees of freedom if the squared residuals ϵ t 2 {\displaystyle \epsilon _{t}^{2}} are uncorrelated.
This is a form of superresolution. Its chief disadvantage is that it requires the number of components to be known in advance, so the original method cannot be used in more general cases. Methods exist for estimating the number of source components purely from statistical properties of the autocorrelation matrix.
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