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La Niña isn’t here yet, but has a 60% chance of emerging through November, according to the Climate Prediction Center. Once it arrives, it’ll stick around all winter and likely persist into ...
La Niña’s arrival was a long time coming Long-range forecasters at the CPC first raised the possibility of a switch to La Niña back in February 2024 when El Niño was still very strong.
NOAA's Climate Prediction Center (CPC) announced Thursday that water temperatures in critical parts of the Pacific Ocean had finally reached the threshold required for La Niña to emerge in December.
Just recently Earth experienced a “triple-dip” La Nina event from 2020 to 2023. “We had three back to back winters where we had La Nina conditions, which was unusual because the only other case of that happening was back in 1973 to 1976,” said Michelle L’Heurex, a climate scientist at NOAA.
An announcement that La Niña has formed could come soon. The climate pattern will play a major role in our winter weather. Winter is coming, but the forecast hinges on looming La Niña
However, forecasters said La Niña conditions are still most likely to emerge by January 2025 (59% chance), with a transition to "ENSO-neutral" most likely by March-May 2025 (61% chance).
The 2020–2023 La Niña event was a rare three-year, triple-dip La Niña. [1] The impact of the event led to numerous natural disasters that were either sparked or fueled by La Niña. La Niña refers to the reduction in the temperature of the ocean surface across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific, accompanied by notable changes in the ...
A weak La Niña is favored to develop. NOAA says there is a 59% chance the criteria for La Niña conditions will be met by the end of January 2025.