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Extreme value theory or extreme value analysis (EVA) is the study of extremes in statistical distributions. It is widely used in many disciplines, such as structural engineering , finance , economics , earth sciences , traffic prediction, and geological engineering .
Multivariate statistics is a subdivision of statistics encompassing the simultaneous observation and analysis of more than one outcome variable, i.e., multivariate random variables. Multivariate statistics concerns understanding the different aims and background of each of the different forms of multivariate analysis, and how they relate to ...
In probability theory and statistics, the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution [2] is a family of continuous probability distributions developed within extreme value theory to combine the Gumbel, Fréchet and Weibull families also known as type I, II and III extreme value distributions.
The standard Gumbel distribution is the case where = and = with cumulative distribution function = ()and probability density function = (+).In this case the mode is 0, the median is ( ()), the mean is (the Euler–Mascheroni constant), and the standard deviation is /
Each iso-density locus—the locus of points in k-dimensional space each of which gives the same particular value of the density—is an ellipse or its higher-dimensional generalization; hence the multivariate normal is a special case of the elliptical distributions.
The Fisher–Tippett–Gnedenko theorem is a statement about the convergence of the limiting distribution , above. The study of conditions for convergence of to particular cases of the generalized extreme value distribution began with Mises (1936) [3] [5] [4] and was further developed by Gnedenko (1943).
The extreme value theorem was originally proven by Bernard Bolzano in the 1830s in a work Function Theory but the work remained unpublished until 1930. Bolzano's proof consisted of showing that a continuous function on a closed interval was bounded, and then showing that the function attained a maximum and a minimum value.
One common method of construction of a multivariate t-distribution, for the case of dimensions, is based on the observation that if and are independent and distributed as (,) and (i.e. multivariate normal and chi-squared distributions) respectively, the matrix is a p × p matrix, and is a constant vector then the random variable = / / + has the density [1]