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The following graph depicts the standing of each candidate in the poll aggregators from September 2019 to November 2020. Former Vice President Joe Biden, the Democratic nominee, had an average polling lead of 7.9 percentage points over incumbent President Donald Trump, the Republican nominee.
2016 presidential election results: Trump beat Clinton 48.6% to 47.9% 2020 presidential election results: Biden beat Trump 50% to 48.8% Michigan - 15 electoral votes
The following graph depicts the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump in each swing state in the poll aggregators from March 2020 to the election, with the election results for comparison. Polls by state/district
In April 2020, Biden predicted that Trump would try to delay the election, saying he "is gonna try to kick back the election somehow, come up with some rationale why it can't be held". [ 178 ] [ 179 ] In May, Jared Kushner did not rule out delaying the election, saying "I’m not sure I can commit one way or the other". [ 180 ]
Vice President Harris is leading former President Trump in Pennsylvania and Michigan by at least 5 points but has a smaller lead in Wisconsin, according to a new poll from Quinnipiac University.
President-elect Donald Trump notched a 54% approval rating, one of his all-time highest, compared to about 46% who disapprove of him, an Emerson College poll found.
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Polls are typically conducted over a five-day period and aim to gather a random sample of about 1,500 respondents. [15] [16] Responses to polls are weighted with US Census demographic data, adjusting for the variables of age, education, gender, race, and region. [16] Quinnipiac University polls target American adults aged 18 and over.