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Pythagorean expectation is a sports analytics formula devised by Bill James to estimate the percentage of games a baseball team "should" have won based on the number of runs they scored and allowed. Comparing a team's actual and Pythagorean winning percentage can be used to make predictions and evaluate which teams are over-performing and under ...
Advanced Football Analytics uses its win probability model to analyze strategic coaching decisions such as whether to kick or attempt first down conversions. Research topics include game theory applications, luck and randomness, [ 9 ] play calling, home field advantage, run-pass balance, and the relative importance of various facets of ...
The resulting percentage is often compared to a team's true winning percentage, and a team is said to have "overachieved" or "underachieved" compared to the Pythagorean expectation. For example, Bill Barnwell calculated that before week 9 of the 2014 NFL season, the Arizona Cardinals had a Pythagorean record two wins lower than their real ...
The NFL uses strength of schedule as a secondary tie-breaker for divisional rankings and playoff qualification, and as a primary tie-breaker for the NFL Draft. While the NFL has 32 teams, each team plays only 17 games against 14 other teams. [ 5 ]
For now, Baltimore hosts Los Angeles in a rematch of Week 12's "Monday Night Football" game between the two teams. The Ravens won 30-23 in a battle between the Harbaugh brothers.
The NFL flexed this Week 11 "Sunday Night Football" into prime-time to replace the New York Jets' face-off with the Indianapolis Colts, which will now occur during the 1 p.m. ET slate.
Super Bowl Squares are the second most popular office sports betting tradition in the United States (No. 1: March Madness brackets), maybe because the outcome is based entirely on luck. Here's how ...
Log5 is a method of estimating the probability that team A will win a game against team B, based on the odds ratio between the estimated winning probability of Team A and Team B against a larger set of teams.