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This is a list of nationwide public opinion polls that were conducted relating to the general election for the 2024 United States presidential election. Those named in the polls were declared candidates or had received media speculation about their possible candidacy.
Statistician Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight maintains a list of pollsters who conduct surveys in U.S. political elections and assigns each pollster a rating based on its methodology and historical accuracy. [9] Silver also lists the number of polls analyzed for each pollster. [9] Cygnal [10] [11] [12] Elway Research; Emerson College Polling [13]
[1] [2] Gallup polling has often been accurate in predicting the outcome of presidential elections and the margin of victory for the winner. [3] However, it missed some close elections: 1948, 1976 and 2004, the popular vote in 2000, and the likely-voter numbers in 2012. [ 3 ]
The latest Yahoo News/YouGov results illustrate the powerful effect that partisanship can have on people’s perception of reality.
The companies were both accused of rigging the 2020 election by Trump allies and conservative media outlets, despite the fact that there is no evidence of significant voter fraud.
The polls and odds are constantly in flux, but you can find the latest polls we could find for each candidate as of 6 a.m. on Nov. 5, 2024: ABC News project 538 : The final poll shows Harris with ...
Poll results can be affected by methodology, especially in how they predict who will vote in the next election, and re-weighting answers to compensate for slightly non-random samples. One technique, "weighting on recalled vote" is an attempt to compensate for previous underestimates of votes for Donald Trump by rebalancing the sample based on ...
There were three poll numbers that stood out: 30, 40 and 97. Former President Trump dances during a campaign rally at Findlay Toyota Center on Oct. 13, 2024 in Prescott Valley, Arizona.