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In June 2023, the New York Fed’s model — which calculates recession probabilities based on the yield spread between 10-year Treasury bonds and three-month bills — estimated a 70% chance of a ...
The probability of a recession by the end of 2025 currently sits at 45%, according to the report. However, keep in mind that these predictions aren't always accurate.
Patient investors can (and I'd argue should) buy stocks in 2025, regardless of whether or not a recession is coming. The most important lesson history teaches is that the S&P 500 rises over the ...
Things might change (for the worse) in 2025, though. The Federal Reserve puts the probability of a recession in the next 12 months at 42%. That's not an overwhelmingly high percentage, but it's ...
Either way, I think it's a bad idea to time the markets and conclude that 2025 will be a weak year just because 2023 and 2024 were some of the best years we've had in recent memory.
The idea of a coming recession may be scary, and understandably so. The good news is that there's no guarantee the economy will decline in the coming year, despite the Fed's projections ...
January 5-6 - Southern and Central Ohio is hit by a blizzard. [1] January 20 - The Ohio State Buckeyes defeat the Notre Dame Fighting Irish 34-23 in the Playoff National Championship, their first win since the 2014 season. [2] January 26 - 20-58 people were arrested during ICE raids in Geauga County. [3] [4] [5]
“Altogether, risks are tilted towards a recession coming either later this year or next year, but it is not as obvious that this will occur as it was in 2007 or 2000,” he said. “Currently ...