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The joint hypothesis problem is the problem that testing for market efficiency is difficult, or even impossible. Any attempts to test for market (in)efficiency must involve asset pricing models so that there are expected returns to compare to real returns. It is not possible to measure 'abnormal' returns without expected returns predicted by ...
Research by Alfred Cowles in the 1930s and 1940s suggested that professional investors were in general unable to outperform the market. During the 1930s-1950s empirical studies focused on time-series properties, and found that US stock prices and related financial series followed a random walk model in the short-term. [14]
Bank and financial market efficiency. Emerald Group. ISBN 978-0-7623-1099-9. Richard, Mark; Vecer, Jan (1 February 2021). "Efficiency Testing of Prediction Markets: Martingale Approach, Likelihood Ratio and Bayes Factor Analysis". Risks. 9 (2). Davidson, Paul. Financial markets, money and the real world. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2002.
A market can be said to have allocative efficiency if the price of a product that the market is supplying is equal to the marginal value consumers place on it, and equals marginal cost. In other words, when every good or service is produced up to the point where one more unit provides a marginal benefit to consumers less than the marginal cost ...
The adaptive market hypothesis, as proposed by Andrew Lo, [1] is an attempt to reconcile economic theories based on the efficient market hypothesis (which implies that markets are efficient) with behavioral economics, by applying the principles of evolution to financial interactions: competition, adaptation, and natural selection. [2]
In an article in the May 1970 issue of the Journal of Finance, entitled "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work", [14] Fama proposed two concepts that have been used on efficient markets ever since. First, Fama proposed three types of efficiency: (i) strong-form; (ii) semi-strong form; and (iii) weak efficiency.
A soft market test is a procurement exercise designed to test commercial markets' capabilities of meeting a set of requirements which would include enough interested suppliers to maintain competitive pressures. The exercise is unlikely to result immediately in an order for goods and services: more likely is that the outcome of the exercise will ...
Used cars market: due to presence of fundamental asymmetrical information between seller and buyer the market equilibrium is not efficient—in the language of economists it is a market failure Around the 1970s the study of market failures came into focus with the study of information asymmetry .