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Hence ~ gives an estimate of the population variance that is biased by a factor of as the expectation value of ~ is smaller than the population variance (true variance) by that factor. For this reason, S ~ Y 2 {\textstyle {\tilde {S}}_{Y}^{2}} is referred to as the biased sample variance .
Since the quadratic form is a scalar quantity, = (). Next, by the cyclic property of the trace operator, [ ()] = [ ()]. Since the trace operator is a linear combination of the components of the matrix, it therefore follows from the linearity of the expectation operator that
In words: the variance of Y is the sum of the expected conditional variance of Y given X and the variance of the conditional expectation of Y given X. The first term captures the variation left after "using X to predict Y", while the second term captures the variation due to the mean of the prediction of Y due to the randomness of X.
Expected values can also be used to compute the variance, by means of the computational formula for the variance = [] ( []). A very important application of the expectation value is in the field of quantum mechanics .
This algorithm can easily be adapted to compute the variance of a finite population: simply divide by n instead of n − 1 on the last line.. Because SumSq and (Sum×Sum)/n can be very similar numbers, cancellation can lead to the precision of the result to be much less than the inherent precision of the floating-point arithmetic used to perform the computation.
which is an unbiased estimator of the variance of the mean in terms of the observed sample variance and known quantities. If the autocorrelations are identically zero, this expression reduces to the well-known result for the variance of the mean for independent data. The effect of the expectation operator in these expressions is that the ...
Because of the reciprocity of estimator-variance and Fisher information, minimizing the variance corresponds to maximizing the information. When the linear (or linearized) statistical model has several parameters, the mean of the parameter estimator is a vector and its variance is a matrix. The inverse of the variance matrix is called the ...
In probability theory, the law of total variance [1] or variance decomposition formula or conditional variance formulas or law of iterated variances also known as Eve's law, [2] states that if and are random variables on the same probability space, and the variance of is finite, then