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Prediction of volcanic activity, and volcanic eruption forecasting, is an interdisciplinary monitoring and research effort to predict the time and severity of a volcano's eruption. Of particular importance is the prediction of hazardous eruptions that could lead to catastrophic loss of life, property, and disruption of human activities.
Take Iceland, for example. With the region facing numerous eruptions from a volcano since the end of 2023, dramatic photos and video show lava shooting from a long fissure that opened up.
A volcanic hazard is the probability a volcanic eruption or related geophysical event will occur in a given geographic area and within a specified window of time. The risk that can be associated with a volcanic hazard depends on the proximity and vulnerability of an asset or a population of people near to where a volcanic event might occur.
Iceland, well known for both glaciers and volcanoes, is often a site of subglacial eruptions. An example an eruption under the Vatnajökull ice cap in 1996, which occurred under an estimated 2,500 ft (762 m) of ice. [61] As part of the search for life on Mars, scientists have suggested that there may be subglacial volcanoes on the red planet.
Volcanic Alert Level Volcanic Activity Most likely hazards Example 5: Major volcanic eruption Eruption hazards on and beyond volcano – 4: Moderate volcanic eruption Eruption hazards on and near volcano 2019 Whakaari / White Island eruption: 3: Minor volcanic eruption Eruption hazards near vent – 2 Moderate to heightened volcanic unrest
GVP's volcano and eruption databases constitute a foundation for all statistical statements concerning locations, frequencies, and magnitudes of Earth's volcanic eruptions during the last 10,000 years. Three print editions of Volcanoes of the World were published based on the GVP data in 1981, [3] 1994 [4] and 2010. [5]
World map of active volcanoes and plate boundaries Kīlauea's lava entering the sea Lava flows at Holuhraun, Iceland, September 2014. An active volcano is a volcano that has erupted during the Holocene (the current geologic epoch that began approximately 11,700 years ago), is currently erupting, or has the potential to erupt in the future. [1]
It often appears on hazardous equipment, in instruction manuals to draw attention to a precaution, on tram/train blind spot warning stickers and on natural disaster (earthquake, tsunami, hurricane, volcanic eruption) preparedness posters/brochures—as an alternative when a more-specific warning symbol is not available.