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Augur is a decentralized prediction market platform built on the Ethereum blockchain. [1] Augur is developed by Forecast Foundation, which was founded in 2014 by Jack Peterson, Joey Krug, and Jeremy Gardner. [2] Forecast Foundation is advised by Ron Bernstein, founder of now-defunct company Intrade, and Ethereum founder Vitalik Buterin. [3]
A TWAP strategy is often used to minimize a large order's impact on the market and result in price improvement. [2] High-volume traders use TWAP to execute their orders over a specific time, so they trade to keep the price close to that which reflects the true market price. TWAP orders are a strategy of executing trades evenly over a specified ...
Bitcoin went on a nice run to end 2024, and the presidential election win of crypto-friendly Donald Trump has also helped drive crypto prices higher. Other fundamental issues have helped boost ...
For a financial instrument whose price follows a Gaussian random walk, or Wiener process, the width of the distribution increases as time increases. This is because there is an increasing probability that the instrument's price will be farther away from the initial price as time increases. However, rather than increase linearly, the volatility ...
If one treats the truth or falsity of the prediction as a variable x with value 1 or 0 respectively, and the expressed probability as p, then one can write the logarithmic scoring rule as x ln(p) + (1 − x) ln(1 − p). Note that any logarithmic base may be used, since strictly proper scoring rules remain strictly proper under linear ...
VeraCrypt is a free and open-source utility for on-the-fly encryption (OTFE). [5] The software can create a virtual encrypted disk that works just like a regular disk but within a file. It can also encrypt a partition [ 6 ] or (in Windows ) the entire storage device with pre-boot authentication .
The successful prediction of a stock's future price could yield significant profit. The efficient market hypothesis suggests that stock prices reflect all currently available information and any price changes that are not based on newly revealed information thus are inherently unpredictable. Others disagree and those with this viewpoint possess ...
An AI death calculator can now tell you when you’ll die — and it’s eerily accurate. The tool, called Life2vec, can predict life expectancy based on its study of data from 6 million Danish ...