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In statistics, best linear unbiased prediction (BLUP) is used in linear mixed models for the estimation of random effects. BLUP was derived by Charles Roy Henderson in 1950 but the term "best linear unbiased predictor" (or "prediction") seems not to have been used until 1962. [ 1 ] "
In statistics, the Gauss–Markov theorem (or simply Gauss theorem for some authors) [1] states that the ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator has the lowest sampling variance within the class of linear unbiased estimators, if the errors in the linear regression model are uncorrelated, have equal variances and expectation value of zero. [2]
This is called the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). Efficiency should be understood as if we were to find some other estimator ~ which would be linear in y and unbiased, then [25] [~] [^] in the sense that this is a nonnegative-definite matrix. This theorem establishes optimality only in the class of linear unbiased estimators ...
The theory of median-unbiased estimators was revived by George W. Brown in 1947: [8]. An estimate of a one-dimensional parameter θ will be said to be median-unbiased, if, for fixed θ, the median of the distribution of the estimate is at the value θ; i.e., the estimate underestimates just as often as it overestimates.
If the experimental errors, , are uncorrelated, have a mean of zero and a constant variance, , the Gauss–Markov theorem states that the least-squares estimator, ^, has the minimum variance of all estimators that are linear combinations of the observations. In this sense it is the best, or optimal, estimator of the parameters.
In a linear model in which the errors have expectation zero conditional on the independent variables, are uncorrelated and have equal variances, the best linear unbiased estimator of any linear combination of the observations, is its least-squares estimator. "Best" means that the least squares estimators of the parameters have minimum variance.
7 Derivation of simple linear regression estimators. 8 References. ... equals the parameter it estimates, , it is an unbiased estimator of . For the variance ...
This transformation effectively standardizes the scale of and de-correlates the errors. When OLS is used on data with homoscedastic errors, the Gauss–Markov theorem applies, so the GLS estimate is the best linear unbiased estimator for .