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Hertsmere is a constituency [n 1] in Hertfordshire, England, represented in the House of Commons since 2015 by Sir Oliver Dowden of the Conservative Party, who is a former deputy prime minister. [ n 2 ]
Sample size Area Lab Con LD SNP Ref Grn Plaid Others Majority 22 – 29 Jan 2025 Electoral Calculus / Find Out Now [108] PLMR [109] 5,743 GB 174 178: 57 37 175 4 2 5 Hung (Con 148 short) 30 Nov 2024 – 5 Jan 2025 Focaldata [110] Hope not Hate [111] 17,790 GB 287: 163 63 22 76 4 4 13 Hung (Lab 39 short) 31 Oct – 16 Dec 2024 More in Common ...
Across the 12 general elections from 1992 to 2024, the site correctly predicted the party to win the most seats in all but one (1992). They also correctly predicted the outcome, that is, the party winning a majority or a hung parliament, in six elections (majorities in 1997, 2001, 2005, 2015, 2017 (by a majority of only 3), 2019, 2024; hung parliament for 2010).
The Electoral Calculus tool that creates user-defined polls can project seats based on any numbers provided, from plausible scenarios based on current polling data to more unlikely outcomes.
Hertsmere Borough Council elections are held every four years to elect members of Hertsmere Borough Council in Hertfordshire, England. Since the last boundary changes in 2019, the council comprises 39 councillors elected from 16 wards .
The constituency was created for the 1997 general election largely from parts of the abolished constituency of North Hertfordshire, including Letchworth, Baldock and Royston.
This is a list of electoral divisions and wards in the ceremonial county of Hertfordshire in the East of England. All changes since the re-organisation of local government following the passing of the Local Government Act 1972 are shown. The number of councillors elected for each electoral division or ward is shown in brackets.
Calculus of voting refers to any mathematical model which predicts voting behaviour by an electorate, including such features as participation rate. A calculus of ...