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Two weeks ago, 538's forecast of the presidential election gave Vice President Kamala Harris just a 58-in-100 chance of defeating former President Donald Trump on Nov. 5. You might be tempted to ...
ABC News has projected that Trump will carry Georgia and its 16 electoral votes. In 2020, Georgia was the closest state in the country, going for Biden by just 0.24 points.
In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
NEW YORK - President-elect Donald Trump won the Nov. 5th election but he isn’t president yet. The next steps to confirm his electoral college victory include 538 electors gathering in all 50 ...
Based on 538’s latest analysis of presidential polls, Trump now has the barest advantage in the race, with a 52-in-100 chance to win. Two weeks ago, Harris had a 58-in-100 chance to win. Two ...
The same principle was at play in the 2024 election: Trump won six of the seven major swing states (Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin) by 3.2 points or less.
2024 United States presidential election ← 2020 November 5, 2024 [a] 2028 → 538 members of the Electoral College 270 electoral votes needed to win Opinion polls Turnout 63.9% (2.7 pp) Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris Party Republican Democratic Home state Florida California Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz Electoral vote 312 [b] 226 [b] States carried 31 + ME-02 19 + DC + NE-02 Popular ...
As of Nov. 1, Harris and Trump were separated by just 1.2% in nationwide polling averages compiled by 538. MORE: What you need to know about the Electoral College as 2024 race nears end