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The Perpetuity Growth Model accounts for the value of free cash flows that continue growing at an assumed constant rate in perpetuity. Here, the projected free cash flow in the first year beyond the projection horizon (N+1) is used. This value is then divided by the discount rate minus the assumed perpetuity growth rate:
SPM is derived from the compound interest formula via the present value of a perpetuity equation. The derivation requires the additional variables X {\displaystyle X} and R {\displaystyle R} , where X {\displaystyle X} is a company's retained earnings, and R {\displaystyle R} is a company's rate of return on equity.
When dividends are assumed to grow at a constant rate, the variables are: is the current stock price. is the constant growth rate in perpetuity expected for the dividends. is the constant cost of equity capital for that company.
MedICT has chosen the perpetuity growth model to calculate the value of cash flows beyond the forecast period. They estimate that they will grow at about 6% for the rest of these years (this is extremely prudent given that they grew by 78% in year 5), and they assume a forward discount rate of 15% for beyond year 5. The terminal value is hence:
Perpetuity, in general, means “eternity.” And in finance, that concept of an everlasting state applies. A perpetuity describes a constant stream of cash with no end. But what is a perpetuity ...
If the cash flow stream is assumed to continue indefinitely, the finite forecast is usually combined with the assumption of constant cash flow growth beyond the discrete projection period. The total value of such cash flow stream is the sum of the finite discounted cash flow forecast and the Terminal value (finance) .
The present value or value, i.e., the hypothetical fair price of a stock according to the Dividend Discount Model, is the sum of the present values of all its dividends in perpetuity. The simplest version of the model assumes constant growth, constant discount rate and constant dividend yield in perpetuity. Then the present value of the stock is
Earnings growth is the annual compound annual ... When the growth rate is always the same for perpetuity, Gordon's model results: ... The table below gives recent ...