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  2. What is a recession and how to tell if one is happening

    www.weforum.org/stories/2024/02/what-is-a-recession-economy-definition-explainer

    In 1974, US economist Julius Shiskin described a recession as “two consecutive quarters of declining growth”, and many countries still adhere to that. However, the US has since opted to use a more open definition. The National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) looks at a variety of factors when deciding whether or not America is in recession.

  3. Is the US heading for recession? All the indicators say yes |...

    www.weforum.org/stories/2022/05/united-states-recession

    The most widely accepted definition of a recession is two consecutive quarters of declining GDP. According to a forecast by The Conference Board, U.S. real GDP growth will slow to 1.5% in the first quarter of 2022, down sharply from 6.9% growth in the last quarter of 2021. The White House is confident of strong GDP growth in 2022 despite ...

  4. Chief Economists Say Global Recession Likely In 2023, But...

    www.weforum.org/press/2023/01/chief-economists-say-global-recession-likely-in...

    Geneva, Switzerland, 17 January 2023 – A majority of the World Economic Forum’s Community of Chief Economists expect a global recession in 2023, see geopolitical tensions continuing to shape the global economy, and anticipate further monetary tightening in the United States and Europe. These are the key findings of the Chief Economists Outlook, launched today at the World Economic Forum ...

  5. Global Risks Report 2023 | World Economic Forum

    www.weforum.org/publications/global-risks-report-2023/in-full/1-global-risks...

    Even if the economic fallout remains comparatively contained, global growth is forecast to slow to 2.7% in 2023, with around one-third of the world’s economy facing a technical recession – the third-weakest growth profile in over 20 years. 18 This downturn will be led by advanced markets, with projected growth falling to 1.1% in 2023, while ...

  6. US may already be in recession, and other top economics news |...

    www.weforum.org/stories/2023/07/us-may-already-be-in-recession-top-economics-news

    1. Key US index points to recession. A 15th monthly fall in a row for an index tracking US business cycles indicates that the world's largest economy may already be in recession. The Leading Economic Index, a measure that anticipates future economic activity, declined by 0.7% in June to 106.1 following a drop of 0.6% in May.

  7. What is a rolling recession? And are we in one right now?

    www.weforum.org/agenda/2023/03/what-is-a-rolling-recession-economy-news

    The phrase 'rolling recession' is being used to describe the current economic situation, particularly in the United States. This is when some sectors are contracting, while others expand. Some areas of the economy remaining strong could head off an outright recession, experts say. That has implications for economic policy, with the Federal ...

  8. Global Risks Report 2024 - The World Economic Forum

    www.weforum.org/publications/global-risks-report-2024/in-full/global-risks...

    Global Risks 2024: At a turning point. The Global Risks Report analyses global risks over one-, two- and 10-year horizons to support decision-makers in adopting a dual vision that balances short- and longer-term risks. This chapter addresses the outlook for the first two time frames and examines selected risks that are likely to heighten by 2026.

  9. United States Economic Outlook - The World Economic Forum

    www.weforum.org/.../sessions/united-states-economic-outlook

    Over the past year, parts of the United States economy have bounced back rapidly, but there have also been numerous challenges, including supply chain disruptions, a surge in inflation and a difficult policy-making environment. What actions and policies are needed to deliver sustained and equitable growth in an uncertain landscape? This session was developed in partnership with The New York ...

  10. The Future of Jobs Report 2020 - The World Economic Forum

    www.weforum.org/publications/the-future-of-jobs-report-2020/in-full/1-2-short...

    The unemployment rate for the United States has now dropped to stand closer to 10%. In contrast, during the Global Financial Crisis in 2009 the unemployment rate in the United States rose from 4.7% in December 2007 to nearly 10% by June 2009. 14 In two months the COVID-19 pandemic has destroyed more jobs than the Great Recession did in two ...

  11. Recession and Automation Changes Our Future of Work, But There...

    www.weforum.org/press/2020/10/recession-and-automation-changes-our-future-of...

    The Future of Jobs 2020 report partner ADP Research Institute tracked the impact of COVID-19 on the United States labour market. Between February and May 2020, data showed that displaced workers were, on average, mostly female, younger and had a lower wage.