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The Keys to the White House, also known as the 13 keys, is a prediction system for determining the outcome of presidential elections in the United States.It was developed by American historian Allan Lichtman and Russian geophysicist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981, adapting methods that Keilis-Borok designed for earthquake prediction.
Allan Jay Lichtman (/ ˈ l ɪ k t m ən /; born April 4, 1947) is an American historian who has taught at American University in Washington, D.C. since 1973. He is known for creating the Keys to the White House with Soviet seismologist Vladimir Keilis-Borok in 1981.
The system, dubbed the "13 Keys to the White House" uses ... His model has since predicted the outcome of the presidential race in 2012 and 2020. During the 2016 election, Silver’s model ...
WASHINGTON - Allan Lichtman, the historian who correctly predicted the outcome of 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has made his guess on who will reclaim the White House this year.
Allan Lichtman, the historian renowned for accurately predicting 9 out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, has shared his prediction for this year's White House race. He forecasts that ...
The 13 keys have nothing to do with impeachment so I do not feel it should be included, and the October 2016 paper, 2016 book, The Postrider reporting, Lichtman's own historical statements, and more (especially when read together) pretty clearly indicate that the keys model had not changed.
Lichtman's keys include whether: The White House party gained House seats during the midterm elections. The sitting president is running for reelection.
Though Lichtman claims that he correctly called the 2016 election by using the system, his 2016 book and paper stated that the Keys to the White House were designed to predict the outcome of the popular vote, which Donald Trump lost." is correct -- it notes Lichtman's claim and why many report it is inaccurate.' It barely matters.