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Right now, most opinion polls show Trudeau significantly trailing his newest rival, Conservative leader Pierre Poilievre. Last month, the Conservatives led the Liberals 39% to 30%, an Ipsos poll ...
Trendlines are 30-poll local regressions, with polls weighted by proximity in time and a logarithmic function of sample size. 95% confidence ribbons represent uncertainty about the trendlines, not the likelihood that actual election results would fall within the intervals.
Opinion polls suggest center-left Trudeau may be replaced by the conservative firebrand Pierre Poilievre. A similar story is expected to play out in Australia, where the Labor Party’s Anthony ...
In that scenario, polls strongly suggest the right-of-center Conservatives, led by Pierre Poilievre, would win a majority. Trudeau appears safe at least for about a couple of months.
The 2021 Canadian federal election, held on September 20, 2021, saw only minor changes from the preceding 2019 election. [10] The incumbent Liberal Party, led by Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, failed to win enough seats to gain a parliamentary majority or the popular vote, only remaining as the party with the most seats and retained its status as a minority government.
3 "Telephone" refers to traditional telephone polls conducted by live interviewers; "IVR" refers to automated Interactive Voice Response polls conducted by telephone; "online" refers to polls conducted exclusively over the internet; "telephone/online" refers to polls which combine results from both telephone and online surveys, or for which ...
Poilievre, the party's fourth leader in eight years, appears to connect with regular voters more effectively than even Trudeau, whose own rise to power was fueled by a so-called Sunny Ways promise ...
In a poll conducted by Abacus Data on the day after the resignation, 67% of Canadians wanted Trudeau to resign, compared to just 19% who wanted him to stay on as prime minister. While the Liberals dropped one point in nationwide voting intentions from the week prior (from 21% to 20%), the Conservatives, increasing one point to 45%, opened up ...