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D. G. Champernowne built a Markov chain model of the distribution of income in 1953. [93] Herbert A. Simon and co-author Charles Bonini used a Markov chain model to derive a stationary Yule distribution of firm sizes. [94] Louis Bachelier was the first to observe that stock prices followed a random walk. [95]
In statistics, Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is a class of algorithms used to draw samples from a probability distribution. Given a probability distribution, one can construct a Markov chain whose elements' distribution approximates it – that is, the Markov chain's equilibrium distribution matches the target distribution. The more steps ...
A game of snakes and ladders or any other game whose moves are determined entirely by dice is a Markov chain, indeed, an absorbing Markov chain. This is in contrast to card games such as blackjack, where the cards represent a 'memory' of the past moves. To see the difference, consider the probability for a certain event in the game.
The simplest Markov model is the Markov chain.It models the state of a system with a random variable that changes through time. In this context, the Markov property indicates that the distribution for this variable depends only on the distribution of a previous state.
The Markov-modulated Poisson process or MMPP where m Poisson processes are switched between by an underlying continuous-time Markov chain. [8] If each of the m Poisson processes has rate λ i and the modulating continuous-time Markov has m × m transition rate matrix R , then the MAP representation is
The mixing time of a Markov chain is the number of steps needed for this convergence to happen, to a suitable degree of accuracy. A family of Markov chains is said to be rapidly mixing if the mixing time is a polynomial function of some size parameter of the Markov chain, and slowly mixing otherwise. This book is about finite Markov chains ...
This category is for articles about the theory of Markov chains and processes, and associated processes. See Category:Markov models for models for specific applications that make use of Markov processes.
Markov chain; Markov chain central limit theorem; Markov chain geostatistics; Markov chain Monte Carlo; Markov partition; Markov property; Markov switching multifractal; Markovian discrimination; Maximum-entropy Markov model; MegaHAL; Models of DNA evolution; MRF optimization via dual decomposition; Multiple sequence alignment