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The 538 predictive model for the 2024 presidential election shows President Biden more likely to win than former President Trump — Biden’s best odds since May. The model’s Tuesday update ...
Local regression of two-way polling between Trump, Biden and Kennedy conducted up to the 2024 United States presidential election (excludes others and undecided). The dashed line marks Biden's withdrawal from the race.
This is a list of opinion polls taken on the presidency of Joe Biden in 2024 and the first twenty days of January 2025. To navigate between years, see opinion polling on the Joe Biden administration .
In not-breaking news, the 2024 race for the White House appears very close.Tellingly, 538’s latest presidential election forecast gives Vice President Kamala Harris the narrowest of advantages ...
Donald Trump is polling even with President Joe Biden in a likely 2024 rematch, sparking mixed feelings among Democrats 14 months from Election Day. ... The New York Times poll found Biden winning ...
New Hampshire: 4 Nov 5 08:00 pm D+1: 52.7% D 7.35% Lean D Likely D Solid D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D New Mexico: 5 Nov 5 09:00 pm D+3: 54.3% D 10.79% Solid D Likely D Very Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D North Carolina: 16 Nov 5 07:30 pm R+3: 49.9% R 1.35% Tossup Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean R Tossup Tossup ...
Biden's approval ratings settled in the high 30s to low 40s leading up to the 2024 presidential election. The latest Gallup poll stated that since "at least 2010, the nation has been in a public ...
In the leadup to Biden's withdrawal, 538 was the only professional election forecaster to give Biden majority odds of winning the 2024 election. [93] Silver criticized Morris's model, describing it as at best ignoring the polls and giving Biden positive odds merely due to his incumbency , and at worst as being "buggy".